What was Dr. Bob's 2009 football record?

[donovan]

I was trying to look up Dr. Bob's historical record on his site. The link shows only up to the 2008 season. Was 2009 a losing year? What was his record in 2009?

http://drbobsports.com/pastperformance.cfm

I may be wrong, but I'm assuming the 2008-2009 season is the 2008 regular season + playoffs/bowl games that were played in early 2009.

[hudson15]

2009 Season Recap
I had one of my worst College Football season ever, but I was still over 50% winners despite losing more close games than I won, including a few big plays that lost on the final play. I ended the season at just 35-33-2 (90-88-5 on a Star Basis) on my Best Bets for the season based on the line at the time of release and 32-30-2 based on the lines after they move. I was also 2-0 on my season win totals with 2-Stars on UCLA Under 6 1/2 or 7 wins and 2-Stars on Oregon over 7 1/2 wins, so that added 4 Stars to make my season record 94-88-5 on a Star Basis for a loss of 2.8 Stars at -1.10 odds. My Strong Opinions were 44-35 for the season.

This past season was defined by two 4-Star Best Bets that I lost in the final seconds earlier in the season (West Virginia against Colorado in a game West Virginia was -4 in fumbles and should have won by 30, and Arizona, who lost to Washington on an interception that deflected off a receiver's foot that was run in for the game winning TD) and the last play meaningless touchdown by Colorado (again) against Nebraska that didn't win the game but covered the spread and gave me a 3-Star loss instead of a 3-Star win on the Huskers. Losing those 3 games instead of winning them was the difference in my season, as I'd be 105-77-5 on a Star Basis had those games won instead of lost and I didn't had any miracle last second wins to balance out those losses. I've had years when I've won more close games than I've lost (like my 74% season in 2005), but 2009 was certainly not one of those years.

[hudson15]

Super Bowl Best Bet on the Saints a Winner!!
After a rough start to the NFL season (12-20 on Stars) I rallied down the stretch to finish 28-24 on a Star Basis by winning 8 of my last 10 Best Bets, including a 2-Star Best Bet on the Saints in the Super Bowl. I also won my season win total bet on the Dolphins under 7 1/2 wins for 2-Stars, so I was 30-24 overall on a Star Basis (4-2 on 3-Stars, 9-9 on 2-Stars) for a small profit of +3.6 Stars. I didn't play a lot of NFL games this season, but I've been working on a second math model the last few years that looks very promising. I'll do more research on it (and refine it a bit) over the Summer and should be able to play qualifying games with more confidence after having one more year of results on that second model (it's been very good for the 3 years, but there was not enough of a sample size coming into this season to rely on it). Strong Opinions were only 23-26-1 for the season (4-1 in the playoffs) but they are 199-169-7 lifetime in the NFL.

Math Model 233-178-10
The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) was 3-1 in the playoffs (2-1 with the Jets and a win on New Orleans in the Super Bowl) and is 233-179-10 (57%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

[donovan]

Thanks. Assuming those numbers are accurate (no reason not to believe they aren't), then I'm wondering why he got so much flak last year. I guess it was the bad start, but he more than made up for it with a strong finish.

[ComptrBob]

Originally Posted by donovan

Thanks. Assuming those numbers are accurate (no reason not to believe they aren't), then I'm wondering why he got so much flak last year. I guess it was the bad start, but he more than made up for it with a strong finish.

He got the flak because of so much whining about "bad beats". Also, look at his net of only +0.8u (stars), risking 241u (stars). If you bought his CFB and NFL packages for 2009, and bet a dime every game, you actually lost money considering the cost of the subscription.

CFB 94-88-5, -2.8u (stars)
NFL 30-24 +3.6u (stars)

[GroovinMahoovinPartDeux]

And those two paragraph posts about the "bad beats" are only the tip of the iceberg. Some of his weekly recaps were almost laughable, they'd include paragraph after paragraph about how he got so unlucky that one team led the whole game and gave up 2 late touchdowns to blow their cover, etc. etc.