le tour

[TJMAXX]

Overall
- Menchov -103 A Schleck
- Evans -121 Armstrong
- Menchov - 630 Kirchen
- Kreuziger -136 F Schleck
- Kloden -200 Zubeldia
- Leipheimer -145 Gesink

Green
Cavendish -182 Freire
Cavendis -305 Hushovd

Team
Astana -456 Saxo Bank (best bet of the tour)
Rabobank -138 Liquigas

Stage 1
Wiggins +259 Cancellara (wiggins to win at 1100 is also very good)
Field +125 Cancellara
Wiggins -152 Martin
Leipheimer -104 Armstrong
Kirchen -145 Nibali
Hushovd -126 Haussler
A Schleck -188 Gesink

[TJMAXX]

3-4 -1.71

ttt is looking good for garmin and astana (-130 to win is an excellent bet)

Astana -320 columbia (very large)
garmin -194 saxo bank (large)
garmin -131 columbia (medium)

Lance in yellow at +200 is also good.

[the bhead]

I normally follow the Tour with much more regimen that I have this year, but I do like a LOT of TJ's picks...

Note: I think this is an excellent year to be fading Armstrong in match-ups. As amazing an athlete as he is, losing that time due to the crash will catch up with him in weeks 2-3. I do believe he's setting himself up for 2010.

Do really like Astana in team time trial tomorrow. It's what Bruyneel teams do best.

If Lance doesn't hit yellow by the Pyrennes this weekend, I'm not sure he can get there.

He is amazing though, so I could look really stupid here.

[the bhead]

Just took a look at Pinnacle for tomorrow...

Would be interested in Lampre +158 over Euskadel. Don't ever remember them (Euskadel) ever time trialing worth a crap.

[TJMAXX]

Swept the time trial... an amazing stage. 6-4 +1.29

Adding to my already large bet on AC with -131 (official pick). This will be scalpable after tomorrow... GUARANTEED FREE MONEY FROM TJMAXXSPORTS.COM

Only big bet i'm worried about is donkey menchov vs old kirky. He seems to have the worst trip of any pro in this tour EVERY damn year.

[TJMAXX]

VII --This is it kids-- its your last chance to get on AC at a reasonable price this year... -145 is still too cheap.

A few more gems:
AC -224 A. Schelck
AC -340 Sastre
Nibali -114 F. Schleck
Nibali -225 Efimkin
Evans -196 Armstrong

AC at +300 is also a decent play. He's out to make a statement today.

[TJMAXX]

10-5 +4.15 Old man Schleck ruined my sweep. 9-1 on my own stuff... it's about time for some champagne around here.

[Skinny Dynamite]

GD work mate...

[TJMAXX]

we may be done making picks for the year as pinny went from 500 to 250 to 100 limits on these bets. oh well, at least I got a couple dimes on contador when they put their donkey numbers up first time around.

just for kicks:
wiggins -152 kreuziger
wiggins -124 f schleck
menchov -105 karpets
vandevelde -123 nibali
evans -132 kloden

[TJMAXX]

Just a few tom:
- Cav -261 farrar (I did bet some farrar 50-1 just for kicks... he may get that perfect lead out one of these days and this lil hill might throw cav off just enough)
- Hushovd -185 freire (freire has been almost as absent as boonen. Its scary)

I still like a few of the GC matchups and hopefully I can get new accounts funded in time before they disappear... If so I'll post em.

[TJMAXX]

Prob my last post:

Not much value left. pinny isn't taking any money on this shit anymore (I wonder why... :)) For those with BF, I still like LA 1.4 and better in top six (large) and 2.8 or better for top three (medium). I've killed the rest of the decent bets on BF but these LA fades wont go away for some reason.

Cav might be up for a flyer if he can steal some points on the hilly sprints, but I already have way too much exposure on him as it is. Ugh. I'm running so terrible right now its just sick.

[TJMAXX]

I run bad... Kirchy finally cracks but Menchov hits the deck twice has a flat and gets beat up really bad. That and LA nipping out Adreas at the line tops my daily beatdown... Lots of respect to Thor for a great ride. Somebody should punch that cocky-ass Cav in the face.

[TJMAXX]

A few for the tt:
Wiggins -164 kloden
AC -308 LA
Casar -173 F.Schleck (fading frank big time-- not at pinny, but I love Nibali/similar etc. over Frankie up to -200)
Nibali -196 Martin
Van Den Broeck -300 Sastre

[TJMAXX]

Final tally: 24-16 +1.59
I'm a little disappointed with my early posted bets but I absolutely crushed my large bets (backing AC, Astana in the team standings, LA top six, and top three along with good old Wiggo at sick odds) HELL yeah baby. I love July. Not quite as good as the Olympics and Tour last year, but still a very good tour.