MadLib NBA 2008-09

[MadLib]

1/24

Bucks -7 -102
Cavaliers +3 +101
Blazers -10 +107

All 1 unit.

[MadLib]

Results: 2-1 +1.06

1/25
Spurs +7 +102

1 unit

[MadLib]

Adding

Paper Clips +11 -107

[MadLib]

Results: 2-3 -1.01

1/26

Thundercats -1.5 -109
Timberwolves +3.5 -101
Sixers +3 -107

[MadLib]

Results: 4-4 -.08

1/27

Magic -9.5 -105
Cavaliers -14 -110
Nuggets -6.5 +103

[MadLib]

YTD: 6-5 +.85

1/29

Cavaliers +4.5 +102

[MadLib]

Results: 6-6 -.15. Nice 2nd half Cavs.

1/30

Thundercats 1h +6 -106

[MadLib]

4/21

Rockets +6 -110. 3 units.

Am I the only person who saw Game 1?

[MadLib]

4/20

Bulls 2h +6 -105
Mavericks +6 -101

Both 1 unit.

[MadLib]

7-8-1 +.78u.

Suck it Jeff Jones.

[MadLib]

1 unit:

Heat +5 -103
Hornets +6 -104
Mavericks -4 -110

[MadLib]

4/23

Add Jazz +2 -108. Chaperone fade.

Also love da Bulls but that ship has sailed at these prices.

[MadLib]

YTD: 10-9-1
+2.74 units. 11.9% ROI.

[MadLib]

4/24
Blazers +230. 1 unit. Barbell potential.

[The Chaperone]

4/24
Blazers +230. 1 unit. Barbell potential.

Was just trying to figure out which is better, the +230 or the +5.5 +107 at MB. The +155 series play is not bad either. At BM and clones.

[The Chaperone]

Okay I decided the +230 was a little better and played it for a peanut. Why do you think this game has barbell potential?

[MadLib]

I think the Blazers are the better team, and the loss of Mutombo leaves the Rockets with only one player over 6'9" and McMillan used an Oden/Przybilla/Alridge front court in Game 2 that presents problems for Houston.

That said there is a good chance they will get the deer in headlights look like Game 1 all over again with the venue change. If they come out slow they likely get rolled.

Or simply said, I think the universe of Blazer covers includes a disproportionate amount of SU wins vs 1-5 point losses to make the ML +EV. I think the spread is pretty fair, I was hoping for a translated line from the Rose Garden games like HOU -3.5 but the exaggerated home court effects for game 3's you noted is in taking place again.

[MadLib]

Add Sixers +3.5 +100. 1 unit.

[MadLib]

11-10-1 +2.74 units.

I'm almost as stupid as Steve Blake.

[MadLib]

Nuggets OV196 -104. MLK Unders fade.
Nuggets +4.5 +100
Jazz +4.5 +101

One unit each.

[MadLib]

Add Nuggets OV194.5 -103. WTF?

[MadLib]

Bulls -3 -108
Sixers +4 -101

1 unit plays.

[MadLib]

Game 4: Hornets -2.5 -102
Game 5: Mavericks +5.5 -109

1 unit each

[MadLib]

13-13-2 +1.67u.

Adding Heat -4.5 -106 for 1 unit.

[MadLib]

14-15-2 +.59u.

Game 5: Nuggets OV197.5 -105. One unit.

[MadLib]

Nuggets -800 to win two units. Hornets are D-U-N, no chance to win. 100% EV.

[MadLib]

I'll add the other unit with Nugs -700. While this is largely a joke, I do think this is +EV. There seems to be some sort of thought NO will bounceback due to their historically awful showing in Game 4, but they lost the previous games by 29 and 15 in Denver, and went down 16 at home in Game 3 before the Nuggets went on an afternoon snooze in a bad spot and still nearly pulled it out.

I guess the Hornets and CP have the better name brand, but this is one of the more mismatched playoff series in some time and like I said NO has tee times set and Byron Scott has both feet out the door.

[MadLib]

15-16-2 +2.54u. Risk 58.46, ROI 4.3%.

Someday I'll stop playing totals.

[MadLib]

Sixers -5 -113. Following world's luckiest square.
Blazers +5 -104. Feels like Portland's game. I prefer the ML again, but since I don't want to be flamed by Heim I'll play it safe.

[MadLib]

So maybe following a guy who won 50k last weeked playing lottery Keno and is up 15 units in two weeks betting every awful DD NBA playoff fave wasn't the best idea. Oh well, looks like vacation in Eureka instead of Tahiti - water is water after all.

[MadLib]

Series: Cavs -2250 to win 3 units. Chaperone's first round results have me on mega tilt.