sundown 2010 bases

[sundown]

latos +49 over johnson 1u

[sundown]

haeger +102 ov perez 1u

0-1 -1.0

[sundown]

robertson +130 ov correia 1u
maine -102 ov ely (1st 5 innings) 1u

0-2 -2.0

[sundown]

arroyo +160 ov oswalt 1u
willis +120 ov pavano 1u

1-3 -2.0

[sundown]

carmona/slowey over 9 -103 1u

3-3 +0.8

[sundown]

add niese +136 ov kendrick 1st 5 inn 1u

[sundown]

5-3 +3.16

[sundown]

jimenez -135 ov correia 2u

[sundown]

6-3 +5.16

[sundown]

cook +36 ov richard 2u

[sundown]

atilano/maine over 8.5 +102 (2u)


7-3 +7.88

[sundown]

fister +55 over wade 2u overnight

7-4 +5.88

[sundown]

market not liking this... adding>

fister +1.5 -125 1u
fister/wade under 8.5 +105 1u

[sundown]

atilano/hammel over 10.5 ev 1u overnight

10-4 +11.03u

[sundown]

hammel -147 over atilano 2u

[sundown]

11-5 +12.03u

[sundown]

stammen/lohse ov 8.5 -101 2u

[sundown]

also for monday:

pelfrey +40 ov lowe 2u

[sundown]

a rare 3rd play for the day...

slowey/eveland ov 9.5 -101 2u

[sundown]

13-6 +14.81u

[sundown]

gorzo/moyer ovr 9.5 +111 2u

[sundown]

13-7 +12.81u

[sundown]

dempster +36 ov blanton 2u

[sundown]

maine/atalano ov 9½ +109 2u

13-8 +10.81

another anti-steam.......

[sundown]

14-8 +12.99

[sundown]

bush/blackburn ov 9.5 -106 3u

[sundown]

bush +59 over blackburn 2u

[sundown]

hernandez/olson ov 9 -111 2u

[sundown]

richard -21 ov snell 3u

15-10 +11.77U

[sundown]

francis/davies ov 9 -06 2u

[sundown]

eveland/jackson over 11 -111 2u

[sundown]

neglected my posting duties today but will throw a bone on a post play

sabathia/santana o7 -101 2u

17-11 +14.65

[sundown]

overnighter

masterson +48 over danks 2u

[sundown]

18-11 +16.65

pending 1 overnighter . my take on cle...this # looks about 16-22 cents off fair market (no vig)

[sundown]

18-12 +14.65

moyer/dickey over 9 -10 3u

buying heavy on that dip

[sundown]

guthrie +1.5 -150 ov braden 2u

wainwright -126 1ST 5 ov garland 2u

[The Chaperone]

18-12 +14.65

moyer/dickey over 9 -10 3u

buying heavy on that dip

This matchup is fairly lol. Possibly even historic in some ways.

[sundown]

blanton/takahashi over 8.5 +13 2u
update l8r

[sundown]

haren/hammel over 9.5 +102 3u

[sundown]

hamels/pelfrey over 7.5 +104 2u

[sundown]

blanton +46 ov hanson right on the open 2u

[sundown]

20-16 +9.89u 1 pending

[sundown]

jimenez/lincecum over 6 +12 2u

[sundown]

pelfrey +100 ov leblanc 3u

20-18 +5.89

[sundown]

niemann -46 ov tallet 2u

[The Chaperone]

jimenez/lincecum over 6 +12 2u

Gotta admit I liked this one. With Pac Bell park factor not being so abnormal as of late and Lincecum not looking super sharp. But Jimenez throws another gem. What are you gonna do?

[sundown]

martin/moehler ov 9 +104 2u (buying on the dip again)

22-18 +10.89

[sundown]

moehler +18 ov martin 1u

[sundown]

rain delay post bet

capuano +231 ov johnson 1u

24-18 +14.15

[sundown]

overnighter....

masterson +206 over danks 2u

[sundown]

harang/hernandez over 8.5 -118 2u

24-19 +13.15

[sundown]

overnight total

chacin/willis under 10.5 -103 would make it 3u but pin limits are 2k open.. so record it here as 1u


roof just about 100% guaranteed to be closed in 110 heat tomorrow. this line tells me roof is 100% guaranteed to be OPEN. in other words, at least 25cents off what i see as fair market.

[sundown]

overnighters continued...

talbot +60 ov peavy 2u
talbot/pevay under 9 -115 1u

[sundown]

leake -117 ov atilano 3u

big time bear on atilano and it hasnt worked out so far! this is good value on leake at -117. a quality young pitcher with good stuff vs. an overvalued young pitcher.

[sundown]

25-20 +14.91 into sat

[sundown]

garland/moyer over 9 -15 3u

[sundown]

robertson/niese ov 9.5 +103 2u

[sundown]

that'll give u folks somethin to chew on

[sundown]

post play

oswalt/dempster ov 6.5 +102

2u

[sundown]

30-22 +19.7u

[sundown]

post play

correia +143 over blanton 2u

[sundown]

31-22 +22.56u

[sundown]

pelfrey -138 ov richard 2u

[sundown]

garland/niese ov 8 -103 3u

32-22 +24.56u

[sundown]

note to the 4-5 people eyeballing this thread:

should be some good activity over the interleague weekend

[sundown]

some einstein just steamed the garland/neise total down further, about 5 minutes after "release" . enjoy an even better entry price!

[sundown]

neise/garland over 4 -104 1st 5 2u

[sundown]

onight

atilano/westbrook ov 9 -110 2u

[sundown]

onight

ohlendorf/verlander un 8 -102 2u

[sundown]

sanchez +64 ov shields 2u

onighter.,..

[sundown]

lincecum/gonzales un 6.5 +04 2u onight

[sundown]

jimenez/romero un 7.5 -13 2u on't

[sundown]

garcia/lopez ov 9.5 -111 3u

[sundown]

morrow/hammel un 5 -109 1st5 2u

update l8r

[sundown]

buehrle +41 ov silva 2u

[sundown]

lee/le blanc over 6 +104 3u

[sundown]

greinke/lecure un 8.5 -105 2u
onight

[sundown]

pelfrey -130 ov millwood 2u

ont

[sundown]

slowey -131 ov medlen 3u

ont

[sundown]

36-26-2 (+25.28)

3 sunday o'nts pending

[sundown]

hernandez/richard ov 6 +105 3u post play

[sundown]

37-28-3 (+21.25) 0pending

[sundown]

ont

cecil/latos un 6.5 -110 2u

this should move about 15-18 cents lower on the no vig fair market from this level.

[sundown]

ont

lannan/sherzer ov 9 -103 2u

[sundown]

kennedy/buchholz un 9.5 -117 2u o'nt

[sundown]

kuroda/harang un 9 -111 2u o'nt

[sundown]

one for tonight......

1st5 innings: marcum -103 ov garland 2u

[sundown]

40-30 (+22.83)

[sundown]

hunter +114 ov sanchez (1st 5 innings) 2u

[sundown]

duke +30 ov danks (1st 5 innings) 2u

[sundown]

atilano/bonderman over 9 -103 2u

im a buyer on the latest drop


41-31 (+23.11)

[sundown]

42-31 (+25.11)

[sundown]

matusz +52 ov le blanc 3u

[sundown]

blackburn/blanton ov 10 +101 3u

[sundown]

matusz +1.5 -143 ov la blanc 2u

[sundown]

francis -111 ov gallardo 2u (ont)

[sundown]

bannister +1.5 -111 ov lowe 2u

[sundown]

pelfrey +85 ov hughes 3u

[sundown]

litsch +54 ov cain 2u

[sundown]

sheets/wainwright ov 7.5 +128 2u

[sundown]

millwood +173 ov richard (1st 5 innings) 2u

[sundown]

46-35 (+25.00u)

[sundown]

lannan +109 ov garcia 3u

[sundown]

46-36 (+22.00u)

one good one for tonight...

gonzalez -120 ov leake 3u

[sundown]

latos +119 ov davis 3u (o'nt)

[sundown]

lerew/atilano ov 9 -109 2u (o'nt)

[sundown]

correia +188 ov shields 3u

,,, not sure who the turkey was that just hammered tb in the mid 180's but that is clearly a bad bet. sd +188 is a good bet....and id say it again if they lose this contest by 15 runs !

[sundown]

matsuzaka/hammel ov 9 -113 3u o'nt

///usually only go 2u on overnight totals when the offer is 2k limit.. i figure when the limit is 3k, then a 3u is justified.

48 -38 (+25.43)

[sundown]

le blanc/garza over 8 -114 2u

[sundown]

le blanc/garza ov 4 -115 1st5 2u

[sundown]

pelfrey -134 ov slowey 3u o'nter

not sure who played slowey +126 on the immediate pin opener but i sure wish i was holding that bet...

[sundown]

litsch/halladay un 9 -120 2u o'nt

[sundown]

litsch +219 ov halladay o'nt 1u

someone beat me to the +224 grr

[sundown]

sanchez -119 ov wakefield 2u ont

[sundown]

francis +150 over weaver 3u
ont

apparently launching a tet offensive on the overnight #s for fri..

[sundown]

niemann/jackson un 9 -117 2u

ont

[sundown]

robertson/millwood over 9.5 +100 3u

conditions should be great for scoring after tstorm cell passes through baltimore. current number underpriced due to 'weather info' from earlier but actually should aid the over nicely

[sundown]

karstens +246 ov feldman 2u

[sundown]

51-39 (+31.43)

a slew pending friday

[sundown]

slowey steamed down from the low +20's to the low teens this morning.. ya, thats a real bright move. anything under -120 on pelfrey is a super play.

[sundown]

laffey +187 ov harang 2u

[sundown]

pelfrey -118 ov slowey 1st 5 3u

[sundown]

volstad -103 ov richard 2u

[sundown]

54-42 (+40.87)

[sundown]

fister +144 over wolf 2u anti-steam in the morning.

[sundown]

55-42 (+43.75)

[Jon in Oakland]

I haven't been paying much attention here, but nice job!

[sundown]

o'nt

guthrie -119 ov atilano 3u

[sundown]

guthrie -116 ov atilano 1st5 innings 2u

[sundown]

baker/niese over 8 +102 3u

[sundown]

moyer -103 over cecil 3u

[sundown]

moyer/cecil ov 9.5 +107 2u

[sundown]

been waiting on this # to fall into place......
post play

sanchez -101 over latos 3u

[sundown]

58-44 (+45.86)

[sundown]

jimenez -145 ov correia (1st 5 innings) 3u

[sundown]

59-44 (+48.86)

[sundown]

hammel/leblanc ov 7 +110 3u

[sundown]

mazarro/matusz ov 8.5 -106 3u

matusz EVEN ov mazarro 2u

[sundown]

60-46 (+46.98)

[sundown]

padilla/sanchez ov 7.5 +105 3u

[sundown]

post play

francis +127 ov richard 2u

[sundown]

moehler +219 ov garland 3u (ont)

[sundown]

61-47 (+48.13)

[sundown]

62-47 (+54.70)


niese/atilano ov 8.5 +107 2u .. morning anti-steam

[sundown]

fister +63 over scherzer 3u


more morning anti-steam. another abysmal market move in the AM.

[sundown]

lincecum -108 ov chacin 1st 5 innings 1u

[sundown]

bergesen/wakefield ov 10 -107 2u

bergesen +216 ov wakefield 2u


correlated pars if avail = yes!

[sundown]

friday afternoon beatdown


62-52 (+44.48)

[sundown]

dickey +74 ov strasburg 1st 5 innings 3u

[sundown]

dickey/strasburg ov 6.5 ev 3u

[sundown]

kendrick/maholm ov 8 +111 3u

[sundown]

65-52 (+56.03)




....return of the jedi

[sundown]

myers +43 ov leblanc 1st 5 innings 3u

[sundown]

65-53 (+53.03)

[sundown]

pelfrey -123 ov harang 3u

pelfrey/harang ov 8 -105 3u

[sundown]

pelfrey -138 ov wood 3u

market still very weak on both mets and pelfrey

[sundown]

wood/ pelfrey ov 8.5 +113 2u


post play into falling knife

[The Chaperone]

So now you have 6 and 5 units on each play respectively? Is that allowed?

There are definitely times when I've wanted to post more than 3 units on a play after it steamed against me, but I always have refrained from doing so.

[GroovinMahoovinPartDeux]

There was a pitching change of Wood for Harang so the initial bets are void.

[sundown]

ya, late change in pitcher from harang to wood. laid mets -138 when it flashed up ~ 3:40-3:50

[The Chaperone]

Fair enough.

[sundown]

66-54 (+51.15)

[sundown]

moehler -115 ov mccutchen 3u o'nt

[sundown]

talbot +224 over lewis 3u (o'nt)

[sundown]

rzepczynski -02 ov slowey 1u o'nt

not sure this is the best entry price at -102, but im a major bull on zip-chin-ski and willing to average in a little right now.

[sundown]

arrieta/big cat u 10 +111 2u

[sundown]

fister -137 ov davies 3u

fister/davies un 7.5 +102 3u

both o'nt

[sundown]

66-55 (+49.15) into 7/7

adding one morn anti steam

garcia/cook ov 8.5 +104 2u

[sundown]

gonzales +14 ov burnett 2u

[sundown]

current number on kc/sea total (7.5 un +17) looks like real good value . already all in (3u)at an entry price 15c lower here, but did average in more on the under as this total trudged higher this morning.

[sundown]

latos -139 ov atilano 3u

soccer match made me snooze on the openers...missed the -30 and the -36/ didnt even get sloppy seconds on this one.

[sundown]

niese -116 ov arroyo 1st 5 2u

[sundown]

69-59 (+43.12)

into 7/8

[sundown]

San Francisco Giants/Washington Nationals 9-July-2010 4:05 PM PST
Total Runs UNDER 6.5 for Game -113
M. Cain must start S. Strasburg must start

Pittsburgh Pirates/Milwaukee Brewers 9-July-2010 5:10 PM PST
Total Runs OVER 9 for Game -120
P. Maholm must start D. Davis must start

Boston Red Sox/Toronto Blue Jays 9-July-2010 4:05 PM PST
Total Runs UNDER 8 for Game -120
J. Lester must start R. Romero must start

Kansas City Royals/Chicago White Sox 9-July-2010 5:10 PM PST
Total Runs UNDER 9 for Game -110
B. Chen must start M. Buehrle must start

2u each - overnighters

[sundown]

matusz +210 ov feldman 3u

[sundown]

kendrick 1st5 innings +109 over cueto
3u

[sundown]

kendrick +105 ov cueto 2u *anti-post move

[sundown]

Chicago Cubs 8-July-2010 7:10 PM PST
Spread pk for 1st Half +184
R. Wells must start C. Kershaw must start

2unit (1st 5)

[sundown]

73-59 (+55.17) into 7/9

[sundown]

maholm/davis ov 9 -111 1u - averaging down on this. good value at this price.

[sundown]

lilly +144 ov billingsley 3u

[sundown]

hanson/dickey ov 7.5 +119 2u

[sundown]

74-64 (+49.61)

[sundown]

pelfrey +1.5 -144 ov hudson 3u

[sundown]

74-65 (+45.29)

3 day vacation

[sundown]

fister +149 ov pineiro 3u

[sundown]

floyd +30 ov liriano 3u ov'nt

i still have this as a nice fractional edge even if morneau was in the lineup and 100% healthy.

[sundown]

hammel/arroyo un 9 -113 2u o'nt


* would be 3u but limits are capped at 2 right now. cris still 9un10 if anyone interested.

[sundown]

fister +51 ov pineiro 1st 5 inn 2u


kershaw +119 ov carpenter 1st 5 inn 2u

[sundown]

74-68 (+38.29)

shouldve been a 4 day vacation,,,,

[sundown]

floyd +25 ov liriano 1st5 2u

[sundown]

lackey +136 ov lee 3u

75-70 (+35.29)

[sundown]

76-70 (+39.37)

[sundown]

le blanc/jurrjens ov 8 +104 3u

[sundown]

litsch/lerew ov 10 -103 3u

[sundown]

hunter/galarraga un 9.5 -107 3u

[sundown]

tilman +152 ov davis 1st 5 innings 2u

[sundown]

76-71 +37.37 3 pending for tue....

and an o'nt side for wed...

arroyo +16 over strasburg 3u

this is off at least 15, prob 20-25 cents to a fair no vig #.

[sundown]

bucholz/gonzales un 8 -105 2u

[sundown]

rzepcynski +164 ov greinke 3u

[sundown]

slowey -173 over masterson 1u tue night

[sundown]

78-75 (+30.54)

entry numbers still good. end game results failing

[sundown]

correia/maholm ov 8 -110 2u

[sundown]

duensing/guthrie un 9 +104 2u limits still 2k

[sundown]

maholm +108 over correia 1st5 inning 3u

[sundown]

79-76 (+29.62)

[hubcap617]

Thanks for the plays.

[sundown]

matusz +129 ov baker 1st5 3u

[sundown]

79-77 (+26.62) luck running real cold

[sundown]

garland -102 ov billingsley o'nt 3u

this is a pure arb play. ill be back with equivalent units on billingsley at what i figure to be ~ (+112 to +117) range

[sundown]

79-78 (+23.56)

burnett/carmona over 9 -113 3u

[sundown]

guthrie +130 ov mills 1st5 3u

[sundown]

79-80 (+17.17)

[sundown]

volstad +139 ov leblanc 1st 5 innings 3u

[sundown]

80-80 (+21.34)

my overall personal is actually negative on the baseball season after a treacherous 3-4 week run. only one other losing season over the past few years in bases but this one is threatening.

[sundown]

kershaw/cain under 7 -117 3u

[sundown]

sabathia/shields ov 8 +106 3u

[EdTeach]

80-80 (+21.34)

my overall personal is actually negative on the baseball season after a treacherous 3-4 week run. only one other losing season over the past few years in bases but this one is threatening.

If it makes you feel any better July has been the worst month of my gambling career. Cheer up there's a reason you do what you do.

[Missouri Girth]

If it makes you feel any better July has been the worst month of my gambling career. Cheer up there's a reason you do what you do.

I have to agree. Since after the All Star Break, I've been brutal.

[sundown]

yes, vegas has been the culprit. ive been hoarding some incredible numbers in baseball over the past 4 weeks... only one problem... they all lose! ill fight my way above water before the season is over.

[sundown]

81-81 (+21.34)

[sundown]

gm2 torres/bonderman ov 9 -108 3u

[sundown]

81-82 (+18.10)

padilla/le blanc over 3.5 -105 1st5 2u

[sundown]

detwiler/enright ov 9.5 +102 3u

francis/mcdonald ov 8.5 +103 3u

82-82 (+20.10)

[sundown]

hunter +119 ov hernandez 1st5 innings 3u

[sundown]

post play........haren/arrieta over 9 -101 3u

[sundown]

83-83 (+20.16)

hammel/duke ovr 8 +103 3u

[sundown]

lee/braden ov 6.5 -01 3u

[sundown]

o'nt

ohlendorf +127 ov de la rosa 3u

[sundown]

85-84 (+24.03)

[sundown]

sanchez +173 ov strasburg 3u on the o'nt opener

[sundown]

kendrick/padilla un 8.5 -102 2u
ont

[sundown]

baker +106 ov garcia 3u

[sundown]

karstens +181 ov le blanc 1u

ont

[sundown]

87-86 (+29.36)

[sundown]

anti-steam in the AM...........

wainwright/arroyo un 7.5 -102 3u

[sundown]

88-86 (+32.36)

[sundown]

guthrie +191 ov shields o'nt opener 3u

[sundown]

hunter -124 ov beckett ont opener 3u

[sundown]

pavano/gonzales un 8 +102 ont open

2u

[sundown]

rzepczynski +122 ov kazmir ont open 3u

[sundown]

1 for tonight...

gomez -130 ov millwood 2u

(mb market 125/124 right now and better prices to be had. good value at -130 imo)

another anti-steam play from the morning btw. whoever or whatever moves the baseball market in the early morning is utter trash. wrong sides and totals before and after the game starts more often than not...............

[sundown]

89-86 (+34.36)

[sundown]

richard +31 ov sanchez 1st 5 innings 3u

[sundown]

ont opener latos/bumgarner un 7 -103 3u (3k limit when placed)

[sundown]

ont opener duensing/cahill un 8 -113 3u

[sundown]

ont open matusz/sonnanstine un 9 +04 3u

[The Chaperone]

labor of love

[sundown]

93-86 (+48.79)

[sundown]

bumgarner +107 over latos 3u